LAC 127-117 MIL, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAC beat MIL 127-117, and LAC's shots were worth 124.3 points to MIL's 106.2.

LAC 127-117 MIL, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	97	99	101.2	28/28	23.1	127	124.3
MIL	79	87	79.8	30/34	26.4	117	106.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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