MEM 125-103 UTA, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat UTA 125-103, but UTA's shots were worth 118.3 points to MEM's 117.5.

MEM 125-103 UTA, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	84	100	91.2	25/34	26.3	125	117.5
UTA	92	90	105.4	13/16	12.9	103	118.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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