CLE 131-135 HOU, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat CLE 135-131, and HOU's shots were worth 128.0 points to CLE's 121.2.

CLE 131-135 HOU, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	91	111	100.0	20/26	21.3	131	121.2
HOU	82	103	96.4	32/45	31.6	135	128.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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