ATL 94-117 TOR, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat ATL 117-94, and TOR's shots were worth 122.8 points to ATL's 116.1.

ATL 94-117 TOR, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL847796.517/2519.694116.1
TOR9095104.022/2518.7117122.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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