BKN 97-106 MIA, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat BKN 106-97, and MIA's shots were worth 107.2 points to BKN's 105.4.

BKN 97-106 MIA, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	80	74	85.3	23/26	20.1	97	105.4
MIA	79	83	87.7	23/24	19.5	106	107.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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