DAL 107-122 BOS, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat DAL 122-107, and BOS's shots were worth 123.8 points to DAL's 116.7.

DAL 107-122 BOS, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	88	86	96.3	21/28	20.5	107	116.7
BOS	103	108	108.5	14/19	15.2	122	123.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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