MIN 133-104 DEN, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat DEN 133-104, and MIN's shots were worth 115.5 points to DEN's 103.3.

MIN 133-104 DEN, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	95	120	103.8	13/15	11.7	133	115.5
DEN	88	97	92.9	7/13	10.3	104	103.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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