SAS 98-136 IND, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat SAS 136-98, and IND's shots were worth 121.4 points to SAS's 112.5.

SAS 98-136 IND, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS858192.617/2519.998112.5
IND102123110.413/1411.0136121.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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