MEM 139-126 NOP, January 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat NOP 139-126, and MEM's shots were worth 115.9 points to NOP's 114.2.

MEM 139-126 NOP, January 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	101	131	109.8	8/8	6.1	139	115.9
NOP	83	104	89.2	22/32	25.1	126	114.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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