CHA 97-102 POR, January 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat CHA 102-97, and POR's shots were worth 123.6 points to CHA's 118.9.

CHA 97-102 POR, January 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA857397.124/2821.897118.9
POR797592.427/3931.2102123.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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