LAL 117-96 BOS, January 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat BOS 117-96, but BOS's shots were worth 111.2 points to LAL's 109.5.

LAL 117-96 BOS, January 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	89	99	93.6	18/20	15.9	117	109.5
BOS	91	84	97.0	12/18	14.2	96	111.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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