DEN 132-123 SAC, January 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat SAC 132-123, and DEN's shots were worth 135.0 points to SAC's 124.2.

DEN 132-123 SAC, January 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	101	111	111.2	21/31	23.8	132	135.0
SAC	107	109	108.5	14/19	15.7	123	124.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.