OKC 115-121 DAL, January 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat OKC 121-115, but OKC's shots were worth 113.0 points to DAL's 106.5.

OKC 115-121 DAL, January 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	88	99	95.0	16/22	17.9	115	113.0
DAL	74	92	79.2	29/36	27.3	121	106.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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