IND 110-140 SAS, January 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat IND 140-110, but IND's shots were worth 106.2 points to SAS's 103.9.

IND 110-140 SAS, January 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND9710196.99/129.3110106.2
SAS9613499.16/64.8140103.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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