LAC 113-117 BOS, January 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat LAC 117-113, and BOS's shots were worth 105.8 points to LAC's 105.5.

LAC 113-117 BOS, January 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC9010395.410/1310.2113105.5
BOS9010190.416/2015.4117105.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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