SAC 123-117 GSW, January 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat GSW 123-117, and SAC's shots were worth 105.5 points to GSW's 99.9.

SAC 123-117 GSW, January 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	81	93	79.6	30/32	25.8	123	105.5
GSW	92	108	90.5	9/13	9.4	117	99.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.