MEM 132-120 CHA, January 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat CHA 132-120, but CHA's shots were worth 122.6 points to MEM's 121.6.

MEM 132-120 CHA, January 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	98	119	110.7	13/14	10.9	132	121.6
CHA	86	93	97.0	27/32	25.6	120	122.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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