DAL 114-115 MIN, January 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat DAL 115-114, and MIN's shots were worth 119.4 points to DAL's 112.5.

DAL 114-115 MIN, January 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	90	98	97.3	16/19	15.2	114	112.5
MIN	81	85	92.7	30/34	26.7	115	119.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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