ATL 104-114 DET, January 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat ATL 114-104, but ATL's shots were worth 144.3 points to DET's 113.6.

ATL 104-114 DET, January 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	103	84	124.2	20/26	20.1	104	144.3
DET	84	96	98.7	18/19	15.0	114	113.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.