DEN 144-109 PHI, January 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat PHI 144-109, and DEN's shots were worth 122.3 points to PHI's 106.5.

DEN 144-109 PHI, January 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	85	120	102.5	24/25	19.8	144	122.3
PHI	96	103	100.3	6/8	6.2	109	106.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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