TOR 109-93 ORL, January 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat ORL 109-93, and TOR's shots were worth 105.5 points to ORL's 102.4.

TOR 109-93 ORL, January 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TOR739184.418/2821.2109105.5
ORL857987.814/1914.693102.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.