MIA 107-116 POR, January 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat MIA 116-107, and POR's shots were worth 113.8 points to MIA's 109.3.

MIA 107-116 POR, January 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	93	96	99.9	11/12	9.3	107	109.3
POR	87	101	95.6	15/23	18.3	116	113.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.