BKN 95-99 NYK, January 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat BKN 99-95, but BKN's shots were worth 114.5 points to NYK's 111.7.

BKN 95-99 NYK, January 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BKN867695.019/2519.595114.5
NYK8788100.311/1411.599111.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.