GSW 85-125 BOS, January 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat GSW 125-85, but GSW's shots were worth 104.3 points to BOS's 101.7.

GSW 85-125 BOS, January 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	92	78	96.0	7/11	8.3	85	104.3
BOS	92	118	95.3	7/8	6.4	125	101.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.