MIL 123-109 PHI, January 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat PHI 123-109, and MIL's shots were worth 120.9 points to PHI's 109.9.

MIL 123-109 PHI, January 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	87	100	98.5	23/30	22.4	123	120.9
PHI	86	94	93.1	15/22	16.8	109	109.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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