POR 103-125 HOU, January 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat POR 125-103, and HOU's shots were worth 137.0 points to POR's 113.0.

POR 103-125 HOU, January 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	86	90	99.5	13/18	13.5	103	113.0
HOU	108	110	120.3	15/22	16.7	125	137.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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