MIN 117-124 CLE, January 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MIN 124-117, and CLE's shots were worth 121.7 points to MIN's 115.1.

MIN 117-124 CLE, January 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	90	101	100.4	16/19	14.7	117	115.1
CLE	92	101	101.1	23/25	20.7	124	121.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.