GSW 122-114 WAS, January 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat WAS 122-114, and GSW's shots were worth 115.3 points to WAS's 103.8.

GSW 122-114 WAS, January 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	96	104	97.0	18/24	18.3	122	115.3
WAS	86	98	85.8	16/23	17.9	114	103.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.