IND 115-102 PHI, January 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat PHI 115-102, but PHI's shots were worth 110.6 points to IND's 109.9.

IND 115-102 PHI, January 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	83	99	92.2	16/23	17.7	115	109.9
PHI	89	86	93.4	16/22	17.3	102	110.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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