BOS 115-119 ATL, January 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat BOS 119-115, but BOS's shots were worth 130.0 points to ATL's 113.2.

BOS 115-119 ATL, January 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	104	95	112.0	20/23	18.0	115	130.0
ATL	93	97	91.2	22/28	22.0	119	113.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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