DET 121-125 PHX, January 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat DET 125-121, and PHX's shots were worth 117.5 points to DET's 117.4.

DET 121-125 PHX, January 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	94	97	89.4	24/36	27.9	121	117.4
PHX	86	93	84.7	32/40	32.8	125	117.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.