DAL 106-98 OKC, January 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat OKC 106-98, but OKC's shots were worth 103.7 points to DAL's 102.6.

DAL 106-98 OKC, January 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	75	90	85.7	16/22	16.9	106	102.6
OKC	91	90	94.3	8/12	9.4	98	103.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.