NOP 136-123 UTA, January 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat UTA 136-123, and NOP's shots were worth 124.8 points to UTA's 108.5.

NOP 136-123 UTA, January 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	100	116	100.5	20/31	24.4	136	124.8
UTA	86	99	84.8	24/30	23.6	123	108.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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