MIL 130-112 TOR, January 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat TOR 130-112, and MIL's shots were worth 119.0 points to TOR's 118.0.

MIL 130-112 TOR, January 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	81	97	88.1	33/41	30.9	130	119.0
TOR	91	94	99.9	18/24	18.1	112	118.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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