BOS 121-94 ORL, January 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat ORL 121-94, but ORL's shots were worth 105.1 points to BOS's 96.6.

BOS 121-94 ORL, January 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	80	101	79.5	20/22	17.1	121	96.6
ORL	82	73	81.8	21/31	23.3	94	105.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.