SAC 132-127 HOU, January 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat HOU 132-127, and SAC's shots were worth 107.9 points to HOU's 104.2.

SAC 132-127 HOU, January 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	98	112	89.8	20/22	18.1	132	107.9
HOU	93	110	86.7	17/24	17.5	127	104.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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