POR 89-118 LAC, January 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat POR 118-89, but POR's shots were worth 113.5 points to LAC's 108.0.

POR 89-118 LAC, January 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	91	77	103.4	12/13	10.0	89	113.5
LAC	78	98	86.5	20/27	21.5	118	108.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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