DET 100-111 IND, January 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat DET 111-100, but DET's shots were worth 113.9 points to IND's 105.7.

DET 100-111 IND, January 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	91	81	96.3	19/22	17.7	100	113.9
IND	89	95	88.6	16/22	17.0	111	105.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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