LAL 117-108 MIA, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat MIA 117-108, and LAL's shots were worth 103.3 points to MIA's 83.0.

LAL 117-108 MIA, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	90	107	92.2	10/14	11.1	117	103.3
MIA	73	94	70.9	14/15	12.1	108	83.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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