UTA 112-117 CHA, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat UTA 117-112, but UTA's shots were worth 109.4 points to CHA's 106.7.

UTA 112-117 CHA, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA9310296.910/1712.5112109.4
CHA8510289.515/2117.2117106.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.