DEN 108-128 HOU, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat DEN 128-108, and HOU's shots were worth 112.0 points to DEN's 96.0.

DEN 108-128 HOU, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	75	94	79.8	14/21	16.1	108	96.0
HOU	94	115	99.3	13/17	12.8	128	112.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.