SAS 115-129 MEM, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat SAS 129-115, and MEM's shots were worth 136.8 points to SAS's 121.4.

SAS 115-129 MEM, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	89	96	100.6	19/27	20.9	115	121.4
MEM	103	118	123.5	11/17	13.2	129	136.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.