NOP 119-116 DAL, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat DAL 119-116, and NOP's shots were worth 129.6 points to DAL's 121.5.

NOP 119-116 DAL, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	97	99	110.6	20/24	19.0	119	129.6
DAL	90	98	103.0	18/25	18.5	116	121.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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