MIN 115-116 GSW, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat MIN 116-115, but MIN's shots were worth 121.8 points to GSW's 106.6.

MIN 115-116 GSW, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	86	93	98.9	22/29	22.9	115	121.8
GSW	82	98	89.8	18/21	16.7	116	106.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.