PHI 119-125 NYK, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NYK beat PHI 125-119, and NYK's shots were worth 117.6 points to PHI's 112.8.

PHI 119-125 NYK, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	92	105	101.4	14/14	11.4	119	112.8
NYK	86	108	99.0	17/24	18.6	125	117.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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