DAL 99-118 DEN, January 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat DAL 118-99, but DAL's shots were worth 114.8 points to DEN's 106.8.

DAL 99-118 DEN, January 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	90	85	98.2	14/22	16.7	99	114.8
DEN	83	99	90.5	19/22	16.2	118	106.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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