ATL 122-117 PHX, January 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat PHX 122-117, and ATL's shots were worth 124.8 points to PHX's 113.2.

ATL 122-117 PHX, January 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	98	103	103.6	19/26	21.3	122	124.8
PHX	84	99	92.0	18/27	21.2	117	113.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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