PHI 102-118 OKC, January 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. OKC beat PHI 118-102, and the shots on each side were worth 108.7.

PHI 102-118 OKC, January 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	84	87	93.6	15/20	15.1	102	108.7
OKC	81	102	93.8	16/18	14.8	118	108.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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