LAC 109-98 MIA, January 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAC beat MIA 109-98, and LAC's shots were worth 111.3 points to MIA's 106.0.

LAC 109-98 MIA, January 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	93	103	103.6	6/10	7.7	109	111.3
MIA	85	83	91.0	15/18	15.0	98	106.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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