LAL 102-126 SAS, January 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat LAL 126-102, and SAS's shots were worth 115.4 points to LAL's 105.5.

LAL 102-126 SAS, January 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	87	92	92.9	10/16	12.6	102	105.5
SAS	90	109	99.4	17/20	16.0	126	115.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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